SPY LEVELS Tues DEC 22

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SPY LEVELS for Monday DEC 22

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GOT VOLATILITY ?

YES, I BELIEVE SO


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SPY FIBZ Nailed it today

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SPY LEVELS going into 12/15

RESISTANCE ZONES:

Previous Day High PDH = 203.83

202.60ish= Bottom of Lower Open Body Gap Area
R1 R2 = 203.54   204.17


SUPPORT ZONES:

PDL = 200.85

50dMA= 200.23ish
Previous MONTH Low= 200.02ish

New DAILY Targets for Reversals( Based on Measured Moves- Using FIBZ
       199.64   and 198.87

120dMA= 198.61






CLICK ON LINKS FOR VIEW AND BETTER EXPLANATION

http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2l23FeObt


http://screencast.com/t/UxKaaUkff

B A B A and the IPO to Date FIBZ , 8 points between friends

A Chop was there. If u have Longer Term FIBZ Levels, and u have bids there GTC when the world looks like its coming to and end, and u automate bracket entry, stop, 1/2 half tgt and trail, order cxls order/whatever, u can take the emotion out-


This draw is as of 11/13 but takes in to account the IPO to ATH and the 50% RET was a very nice trade if placed ahead.  So 11/13/2014, plenty of time to put that order in if  you 'Trust in d' FIBZ'


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been off for 2 days

AAPL FIBZ and Accuracy

AAPL FIBZ have been true to form-

Rejected at 119-120
next BUY Zone is 112.85, 111.74
breaking 110.20ish, could see 107s

http://content.screencast.com/users/MrSoul70/folders/Jing/media/9813cb92-50eb-4101-9167-b5763e859c1a/2014-12-08_0903.png

N O A H by request

N O A H wow, the first FIBZ I did were 5YR on inception MONTHLY just to see what occurred. Geeze, why didn't u ask my this in 2013 or so, lol. Look how the stock rode the BUy ZONE,formed a Cup N Handle from 12-15-then broke out to 20's- Crazy FIBZ

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WEEKLY View

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 Where we are now- DAILY

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Strong Uptrend, pullbacks have been profitable if bought- The last couple sessions however have Created OBGs(Open Body Gaps)- which do tend to get filled once a retracement sets in- Huge Volume Increase, no idea what Short Int is.
Net net, a pullback consolidation would be be nice but obviously breaking out- Next Possible slow down, aside from pullback on Monday is 25.05-

CY by request

CY is looking break out of an 18 Month HI/LO range and with the 200dMA {$14.12} about a buk ahead, a test area looms. A solid volume close above that 200dMA as well as that L/T Monthly Zone, could be a potential ripper-

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DAILY FIBZ show a pullbakto 12.37 and potential oversold p/b to 12.20 as high probability profitable entry zones, a Close below 11.96 Changes trend back down

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A M B A Updated- $3.50 Profit Range via D' FIBZ

A M B A posted the day before, IF a Retracement occured again, The LEVELS were Clear:

 Thursday Nt post










Friday Result

GPS attempted a breakout but settled back in

GPS attempted to move thru $42 several times but closed just above the November Month High of
40.65.
It is also still trading inside Month of October. Until we have a close and hold of 42.40ish, the stock may remain w/in the 40-42 range-


http://content.screencast.com/users/MrSoul70/folders/Jing/media/8b84e775-4946-4bdb-8935-f4678c7dc75e/2014-12-06_1248.png

GPS and a "possible" huge move

On this chart is MONTHLY,WEEKLY and DAILY Representations :



Feel free to email, contact me to ask what it all means-

Peacez

A M B A 50% Nails it

SPY FIBZ Nail LOD, yes nail it

click link for larger view- I didnt hear anyone on TWTR or StockTwitz Mentioned 206.77

'IN FIBZ I TRUST'

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Here it is, my EOY SPY TARGET-

In Aug/Sep, my EOY TGT was 203-207. Based on MONTHLY Measured Move.
Well we have hit and surpassed, which strikes a caution nerve.
BUT, Based on Math.

Now My Target range is :

213.99  -  217.78.

Based on Custom FIBZ Projections.

it does 'feel' like a stretch -  but math is math.


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G W P H , " I get high w/ a little help from my FIBZ"

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IF XOM Pulls back, check BUY zone

  

Goldman Sax (stock) - my 'by default' short term boss-

If u believe in looking left to see right. there is a potential huge move in the works. Technically, iy must have success and holding power thru the mid 190's(having trouble even getting above lower 190's right now-) BUT if the ''genius' don't fail * (Footnote to awesome book 'When Genius Failed" Lowenstein -story of Long Term Capital'-  great great read -recommended by my friend( some M.I.T nerd, i mean genius, just kidding J.O') Well, the GS Swami's may just have some fireworks coming for the New Year.

 the Now Look , breaking above multi year levels, Thru 193ish and hold could be an explosion-








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DGLY,if u missed it,u had another shot

RETRACEMENTS

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XOM still rockin'

I recommended it over the weekend as the leader to watch for in a swing turnaround for oils

full view at bottom






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XOM , I guess patience worked

Most recent full Measured Move saw solid support 90.95-89ish, Today we reclaimed for a very nice move to almost 93-


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S P Y midday update 12/1

Again the $STUDY of Measured Moves and how to trade them increases Profit Probability-


Simply put , 6 days ago the SPY gapped up and traded inside the Measured Move(MM), from 204.16-207.84, but also had traded within the 1rst red candle(daily) post gap. Today it retraced to the BUY ZONES of 206-205.56-the 50/61.8% and bounced back up. It so happens that rumor of a quick fat finger caused the extent of that wick below the 61.8%, but regardless it has presently reclaimed the 50%, which is bullish and vwap is currently 205.94- which is still above supports or within the Buy Zone.

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Happy Sunday and God Bless

IWM Topped out ?

FIBZ Resistance shows very cautious picture- Dead on Resistance, will Support purty far away-
Buy some UVXY ?  Hmmmm

click link for view

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U S O which way 2 go ?

Video analysis - week ahead and  years behind-

http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2XvVlerGC

VLO will it reclaim 50/200dMAs? or hit Downside targets

VLO has closed below many MAs, 50,200,21,If can reclaim those,still faces resistance,if not, I expect more gaps downward-


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OIL & STOX and Historical relationship and Energy ( Gaps)

Great lil read

http://awealthofcommonsense.com/whats-effect-oil-stock-prices/


http://peterlbrandt.com/gap-energy-prices-reminds-worst-trade-ever/

XOM patience?

If u have not entered any tier( naked), This may be a place to consider-

Look left to see right-


CLICK LINK, Chart too large for space

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XLE -yup a disaster(unless you've had patience ?)

Last big drop to this zone came a very profitable run

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A Different Type of Thanks

CTRP RECLAIMS the 50% YTD support, how bout dem pumpkins

Page back and see what I was looking for. Mind you, this is not sum ego magic, its the absolute of Mathematical Measured Moves give way to Probability.

FIBZ Nailed the Lowz and showed a test on the 50% , and the stock reclaimed-
Bullish.

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CTRP EPS Miss/DwnGrade 2nd Support was Gr8t Entry

Last nt I'd drawn these YTD FIBZ
This am it tapped 61.8% Buy Zone#2 48.86 and is Now $52. The old 50% support of 52.86 becomes the Pivot- Fail or Reclaim

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UTX Monthly FIBZ

I have not traded, yet threw some FIBZ on and wish I had-


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IPO Dump fest HABT EYES

CLICK LINK


http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2XOcOeY9g

CYBR Major failure and why u use stops

Where we are now- new Targets 60min and DAILY dotted lines, Resistances= 50/61.8% on both time frames

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CYBR Holding 50%,61.8% p/b Supp 60 min

Downgraded this am Nomura-

Measured Move from yday based on 60 min time frame- 
supps=44.68, 44.23   47.51 was tagrt, missed it by 6 pennies-

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ES Updated FIBZ GreenWon

Updated at 10 pm- u could have taken tomoro off- 8^)

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ES Current. Will Update tomoro.

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B I D U trying here, +5 -5 imo

CLICK LINK FOR VIEW

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BNO a True Trend Reversal ??

Looks very interesting- again pointed out to me from a friend at stockbee


CLICK LINK


http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2X0b3eYi6

HCLP Ready for another run ? Pullback first ?

Was brought to my attention from a fellow trader (stockbee forum-good people there)

I did a vid to explain what I see as per measure moves and d' FIBZ


http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2X3rmeqWY

INSTITUTIONS vrs DAY/PROP TRADERS Vol. I

I thought I'd document my thoughts on the differences(mainly) between Institutional Trading( and some Vanilla or Value Hedge Fund) 
verses  Day or Prop or even Fast money Hedge Fund trading-

I have 21+ years in the business starting as a market maker, firm capital position trading,institutional coverage , moving on to direct institutional trading and now proprietary.

I think there are some misunderstandings about how the 'Big Boys' enter and exit trades or very large positions and what they want to see occur out of the gate verses a DT.

For purposes of having to keep typing 'Institutions and constantly getting hit w/ spell check for missing a 't' or 'u' , we will use PM(portfolio managers) and DT(day traders) PT(prop traders) :

    SCENARIO I :
PM wants to Buy/Sell :

When entering into a new large position or adding to existing ones(in most cases* will explain*),
a PM 'actually wants the stock to start coming in so they can scale. The last thing they want to see happen is have the stock go right up as soon as they've entered the market and began buying thus forcing them to pay up or chase knowing they have likely bought only a small fraction of a large(likely 7 or multiple 7 figure order.)

   ie). PM has 2.4mm ABC to buy. ABC trades 500-1mm a day(less or more etc)
                ABC is 35.50-35.52.  Current Volume= 280k.
                 --Sends broker or enters market him/herself electronically..dark pool etc
   a) Broker may or may not stop the PM on 50k on the offer(more less or none at all)-
           Broker'shops' whole or part of order to their other 'trusted' customers. Suddenly the stock is          35.70-35.72 on little volume. Depending on agency,net or whatever the details of the order are,the broker may have to put that print to the tape.(Mind you,all this likely happend within minutes of broker receiving order.
           The Broker prints the 50k @ 35.52(sld" or however the rule/type of order it is) and the stock is now $36 bid.
   So what was accomplished ? The PM bought 50k @ 35.52 and only has 2.35mm left to buy and now stock has moved 1.5% against them. PM is LIVID at Broker.

ENTER THE DAY TRADER:
  A Day Trader buys stock at 35.52 and is 36 bid almost immediately. WOOHOO!! And the heard of sheep commence buying and stock is 37- and 'There must be news !??' etc etc- Visions of  Happy Hour dancing in their heads !!

  > Now of course there could have been another PM 'Seller' on other side and the Broker's 'shop may have worked and the sides play nice,cross stock relatively in line give or take several 20 cent moves in which a DT is getting stopped out left and right by the volume algos-

The PM could have also entered the market via internal firm OMS or Dark Pools and either scenario may have or have not taken place regardless.

The point of this tidbit is that the Last thing a PM wants, when trying to find liquidity for a size order is Market Impact. Whereas the DT is hoping for Immediate Market Impact( in their favor of course)

This is not to bash Day or Prop Traders( being that I am one), it's to point out How PMs trade the bigger picture. 

Also it's not to say that's the only way  DT's  trade. Matter of fact, more and more DT'/PT's have very calculated and studied methodology loaded with creativity and solid thought out processes.
Very very difficult profession indeed. Huge failure rate, but i digress.

So  "Vol. I"  is to point out the difference of a DT wanting the trade to immediately go their way verses a PM in which case "going their way"  means buying a stock and having it continually, methodically going lower to improve their average knowing they have a lot more to buy(in most cases).
   We call that "AMMUNITION" . 
In most almost all cases DT/PTs don't have near the Ammo that a PM has.(Otherwise they wouldn't be considered a DT in most cases.)

>>>The same applies on the Selling side of a PM order or Shorting side of a DT order.
If a PM wants to Sell Large Position, last thing he wants to see is the stock immediately move lower, Unlike to DT taking on a new Short.

Vol. II to come.

Peace,

BP

GPRO whats the 'Picture ?

This vid is talking GoPro only where we are and where we may 'Go'

CLICK LINK

http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2X3FEeqRO

NBG 'Is Greece the Word ?'

This is a real quick 2 min vid explaining why NBG may be a huge profitable trade, although I'd like a pullbak before entry-

*note I say "NGB" at start- the 'doh' factor- but its worth the watch inho

peacez

**ps I am not in it yet but some smart guys from stockbee forum are- no surprise, real talented traders there-


CLICK LINK BELOW

http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2X3bleq9Y

BABA Many GAPS Left to fill?

 Well BABA has filled about 40% of the Gaps on the run to the upside since IPO. The next lots of gaps await under par.

http://content.screencast.com/users/MrSoul70/folders/Jing/media/d6f057a7-844f-449e-a416-934dd2e6cc5d/2014-11-22_1050.png

EYES HABT SPLK SPY 4 FOR 4

Video explains what the levels mean/meant and also how I didnt trade them well myself-- Lacked Patience and Discipline - But they were good profitable inflection points-



http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2X3cveqMA

Some Retracement pot buy areas i am looking at SPY EYES HABT SPLK

CLICK ON LINK FOR VIEW

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S P Y My Levels = $$

If u bot at my BUY Signals, pre-posted u had about $1 gain in trading S P Y intra day


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VA screencast issue, weird but here is chart

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BITA also in retracement BUY ZONE (imho)

http://content.screencast.com/users/MrSoul70/folders/Jing/media/6134569e-9127-4353-8531-849c25f58ffe/2014-11-19_1755.png

VA (Virgin Branson Airlines) has come to 50% LAND

from IPO to ATH -

is it a ''BUY BUY BUY..."   ??

I like it , we'll see-


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VIPS Updated BOOM !! Nailed Lows for Nice profitable bounce!

click link to see butt killer PRE POSTED Buy levels(bettr view)


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VIPS EPS Levels going into EPS

http://content.screencast.com/users/MrSoul70/folders/Jing/media/07c4103f-7780-456c-aa8a-eb9898209e55/2014-11-18_1552.png

URBN riding the -23.6%

It's tru, found Fibanocci Support and ridin the rails rt now-

http://screencast.com/t/i2cANlr3D


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SPY Update, as well, and FIBZ 'did well

the Power of FIBZ. If u bought in the '50%/61.8%, / GAP ZONE- Posted before the fact

U did just fine today-  8^)

ES (late Update) but NICE Move off My Levels, huh

You can see-

http://content.screencast.com/users/MrSoul70/folders/Jing/media/d50927d7-0d0a-449c-8c3d-4c28e51bb6cb/2014-11-17_1846.png


 

ES ( Sunday nt Sell Off Futures)

Right now at the bottom of support based on 15 min time frame-

Will see what happens tomoro- but any Big Dip 'has been' a buying op.