Monday, November 3, 2014

BABA EPS Projections with explanation video


http://screencast-o-matic.com/watch/c2XfcBeIsR


REJ TGT = Targets where stock May be Rejected after a measured up. -23.6% 78.6%
BZ = Bounce Zones where a stock may find support and bounce after a Retracement. 50% 61.8% 78.6%
REJ = where a stock may run into Resistance after a move up. Can also be 50% 61.8% 78.6%
TGT BZ = where a stock has made measured a move down and may find support and bounce.

The "1 ,2 3", aside from representing the various Fib Levels can also be thought of as a form of risk management: ie) level "1" is first key Fib level and may be riskier if considering an entry, Level 2 and 3 "May" be less riskier but you also take a chance of missing a trade because it reacted to the level(s) in front of it.


4 PROJECTIONS Scenarios

I Studied 3 Measured Moves that I found to be significant enough to make potential inflection zones.

The most recent is based on the 5 previous sessions on the Daily Time frame.

BZ1=98.49
BZ2=97.97
BZ3=97.24
REJ TGT 1=101.70
REJ TGT2=102.34




Based on previous 2 weeks:

BZ1=94.17
BZ2=92.64
BZ3=90.46
REJ TGT1=103.74
REJ TGT2=105.63





Based on All time Low to All Time High

BZ1=91.64
BZ2=89.5
BZ3=86.46
REJ TGT1=104.93
REJ2=107.57


Based on IPO "Pricing to All Time High

BZ1=83.88
BZ2=80.14
BZ3=74.83
REJ TGT1=107.17
REJ TGT2=111.79



My final study of all these scenarios finds Confluence at the 94ish Level & 91.64-89.5 and failure there leads to the 83ish level. A break of that area could send stock lower to 75ish.  To the upside I find Confluence from 102.34-105ish.  Those are my Opinions only.

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